This study estimates the time between onset of symptoms and outcome (death or discharge from hospital) for individuals with COVID-19 infections. Findings provide fatality ratios across the spectrum of COVID-19 disease and demonstrate a strong age-gradient in risk. A rangeRead More
This study predicted trajectories of COVID-19 in the coming days (until April 30, 2020) around the world using an advanced Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average Model (ARIMA). The model’s predictions suggest that rapid infection control measures are urgently needed to curtailRead More
This study formulates a theoretical model to calculate the risk of being infected in health care facilities and suggest ways to minimize these risks. The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases admitted in hospitals is continuously increasing in the Philippines. FrontlineRead More
A discrete-time deterministic epidemic model is used to make predictions about the peak of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy. Generally, transmission dynamics of infectious disease are described by modelling population movements which assume that the population mixes at random, orRead More
This is a rapid sentinel surveillance study aimed to determine what proportion of mild, outpatient influenza-like illnesses were caused by SARS-CoV-2. This community-based surveillance study reports a 5% rate of COVID-19 among patients presented to the ED or urgent careRead More
This study investigated the case fatality rate (CFR) among confirmed COVID-19 cases (N=22,512) in Italy, using Italian National Institute of Health surveillance data up to March 17, 2020. The overall fatality rate of persons with confirmed COVID-19 in the ItalianRead More
In this small sample of COVID-19 infected patients who were mostly young, male with mild infections, half were viral positive even after resolution of their symptoms. This information can provide useful tool for clinicians and policymakers to ensure that recoveredRead More
This document presents estimates of predicted health service utilization and deaths due to COVID-19 by day for the next 4 months for each state in the US. Data on confirmed COVID-19 deaths by day are from WHO websites and localRead More
This study investigated the case fatality rate (CFR) among confirmed COVID-19 cases (N=22,512) in Italy, using Italian National Institute of Health surveillance data up to March 17, 2020. The overall fatality rate of persons with confirmed COVID-19 in the ItalianRead More